Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2006 - 2007 - 2008



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Ladd Mercer 12 Northridge 15:54 #8  
2  Craig Padgett 12 Mishawaka 16:04 #18  
3  Andrew Albert 11 Northridge 16:06 #20  
4  Michael Bradley 10 St. Joseph's 16:23 #47  
5  Tony Yoder 12 Northridge 16:24 #52  
6  Austin O'Connor 12 Glenn 16:26 #56  
7  Trevor Moore 9 Northridge 16:30 #69  
8  Ross Stichter 11 Wawasee 16:33 #81  
9  Mitch Keyser 11 Northridge 16:33 #82  
10  Lucas Roscoe 11 Elkhart Central 16:38 #97  
11  Race Dorsey 11 Elkhart Memorial 16:39 #100  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 186 #3  
2  Penn Riley 434 #30  
3  St. Joseph's Riley 471 #40  

Other unranked teams:
Wawasee Elkhart Central 484
Mishawaka Riley 486
Concord Elkhart Central 522
Warsaw Elkhart Central 556
Goshen Elkhart Central 576



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.0 24 15 63 100.0 0.0
Penn 100.0% 3.1 96 42 170 0.0 51.1 20.1 12.5 8.5 4.9 2.2 0.7
St. Joseph's 100.0% 4.2 112 53 192 0.0 17.5 22.4 18.8 16.0 14.2 7.8 3.4
Wawasee 100.0% 4.3 114 57 185 11.1 21.4 23.8 21.5 13.8 6.5 1.9
Mishawaka 100.0% 4.8 118 51 189 10.4 17.2 17.9 18.2 18.0 12.4 5.9
Concord 100.0% 5.1 124 50 215 7.5 12.8 16.6 18.8 19.6 16.0 8.7
Warsaw 100.0% 6.5 142 60 214 1.5 3.9 6.4 9.9 17.0 29.7 31.8
Goshen 100.0% 7.0 149 76 219 0.9 2.2 4.1 7.1 12.5 25.5 47.7


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Ladd Mercer Northridge 15:54 100.0% 1.0 67.3 25.2 6.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Craig Padgett Mishawaka 16:04 100.0% 1.9 24.6 28.8 27.2 10.1 4.4 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Andrew Albert Northridge 16:06 100.0% 2.2 5.8 37.2 36.2 12.7 4.8 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Michael Bradley St. Joseph's 16:23 100.0% 5.1 1.4 4.0 9.3 18.1 15.4 12.1 10.4 9.0 6.2 4.6 3.3 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Tony Yoder Northridge 16:24 100.0% 5.3 0.0 0.6 6.0 17.9 20.0 16.1 12.5 9.1 6.2 4.1 2.2 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Austin O'Connor Glenn 16:26 100.0% 5.7 0.8 2.7 7.6 15.3 14.4 12.7 10.8 9.5 7.4 6.1 4.1 2.7 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Trevor Moore Northridge 16:30 100.0% 7.0 0.1 1.8 7.0 12.0 15.0 14.2 12.9 9.8 7.5 6.1 4.0 3.1 2.3 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2
Ross Stichter Wawasee 16:33 100.0% 8.1 0.1 0.7 2.7 6.6 8.5 9.7 10.5 10.7 10.8 10.2 8.4 6.4 4.8 3.2 2.3 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3
Mitch Keyser Northridge 16:33 100.0% 8.3 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.5 10.5 13.0 12.6 11.8 10.0 8.1 6.1 4.9 3.9 2.9 1.7 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.5
Lucas Roscoe Elkhart Central 16:38 99.3% 9.8 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.0 5.1 6.5 7.5 8.5 9.8 10.0 9.0 7.9 7.2 5.7 4.5 3.8 3.0 1.9 1.5 1.3
Race Dorsey Elkhart Memorial 16:39 99.1% 10.2 0.2 1.1 3.0 4.4 5.9 6.4 7.7 9.3 10.1 9.6 8.2 7.1 5.9 4.7 3.9 3.4 2.5 2.0 1.5